World Cup: South America

 With three matches left, Brazil and Argentina have clinched a spot in Qatar. Ecuador are 96% certain, while Uruguay and Peru fight over the 4th and last spot. Colombia are challenging and primarily need to hope for a fifth spot which means intercontinental playoff.

Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		Playoff	1st-4th	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Brazil	14	36	45.9	(45-48)	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%
Argentina	14	32	38.5	(37-41)	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%
Ecuador	15	24	27.6	(26-29)	7%	92%	4%	96%
Uruguay	15	19	24.9	(23-26)	25%	62%	13%	75%
Peru	15	20	24	(23-26)	35%	38%	17%	56%
Colombia	15	17	21.7	(20-23)	26%	6%	13%	19%
Chile	15	16	19.4	(18-20)	6%	1%	3%	4%
Bolivia	15	15	16.6	(15-18)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Paraguay	15	13	15.8	(14-17)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Venezuela	15	10	12.6	(11-14)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 Ecuador can clinch a ticket to Qatar on Tuesday with a win against Peru. Colombia's result against Argentina will also very much determine who will qualify. 

Most interesting matches on Tuesday

Peru vs Ecuador

- Peru have 74.8% if they win; 47.3% if draw; 34% if lose.

- Ecuador have 100% if they win; 99.4% if draw; 91.2% if lose.

- Colombia have 28.1% if Ecuador win; 20% if draw; 12% if Peru win.

- Uruguay have 81.1% if Ecuador win; 77.9% if draw; 69.1% if Peru win.

Argentina vs Colombia

- Colombia have 44.9% if they win; 18.7% if draw; 10.5% if lose.

- Peru have 60% if Argentina win; 55.1% if draw; 42.6% if Colombia win.

- Uruguay have 77.4% if Argentina win; 75.2% if draw; 66.9% if Colombia win.

World Cup: North America

With six matches left Mexico have 99% clinched a spot in the world cup finals and the US and Canada are likely to grab the two remaining direct spots. Panama, currently in fourth, play two important matches against Costa Rica (away) and Jamaica (home). 

Most interesting matches

Costa Rica vs Panama in Group A

- Costa Rica have 24.8% if they win; 7.7% if draw; 2.3% if lose.

- Panama have 68.7% if they win; 53.1% if draw; 35.9% if lose.

Panama vs Jamaica in Group A

- Panama have 59.2% if they win; 42.3% if draw; 30.4% if lose.

- Jamaica have 14.5% if they win; 4.2% if draw; 1.2% if lose.

- Costa Rica have 19.7% if Jamaica win; 19.2% if draw; 13% if Panama win.

Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		Playoff	1st-3rd	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Mexico	8	14	28.3	(27-30)	1%	98%	< 1%	99%
United States	8	15	25.8	(24-28)	7%	91%	4%	95%
Canada	8	16	24	(22-26)	16%	79%	8%	87%
Panama	8	14	20.2	(18-22)	46%	23%	23%	46%
Costa Rica	8	9	17.1	(15-19)	20%	6%	10%	17%
Jamaica	8	7	14.9	(13-17)	8%	2%	4%	6%
Honduras	8	3	10.5	(8-13)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
El Salvador	8	6	10.4	(9-12)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

World Cup: African Playoff

The following matches were drawn in the playoff

Egypt - Senegal

Cameroon - Algeria

Tunisia - Ghana

Algeria - Mali

Nigeria - DR Congo

 

Here are the estimated chances

AFRICA

Country	Qatar
Algeria	77%
Morocco	77%
Senegal	69%
Tunisia	64%
Nigeria	62%
Ghana	38%
Mali	36%
Egypt	31%
Democratic Republic of Congo	23%
Cameroon	23%

 

World Cup: Saudi Arabia can clinch world cup ticket in Japan

 

Iran and South Korea have practically clinched tickets to Qatar. UAE and Iraq fight over the third spot and playoff. Iraq have much easier schedule left with Lebanon and Syria plus UAE in March, compared with UAE who play Iran and South Korea plus Iraq in the possible decider.

Group A
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Iran	7	19	25.3	(25-26)	< 1%	25%	75%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
South Korea	7	17	22.7	(21-24)	< 1%	75%	25%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
United Arab Emirates	7	9	10.6	(9-12)	47%	< 1%	< 1%	47%	7%	3%	3%
Iraq	7	4	9.74	(8-11)	41%	< 1%	< 1%	41%	16%	8%	8%
Lebanon	7	5	7.59	(6-9)	10%	< 1%	< 1%	10%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Syria	7	2	5.34	(3-7)	2%	< 1%	< 1%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

 The three top teams won meaning Oman is almost out of qualifications. The three top teams all play each other leading to a very uncertain outcome. Saudi need 3 points to clinch qualifications and play Japan (home), China (away) and Australia (away). Japan play Saudi on Tuesday while Oman host Australia

Japan vs Saudi Arabia in Group B

- Japan have 92.5% if they win; 75.2% if draw; 68% if lose.

- Saudi Arabia have 100% if they win; 97.3% if draw; 85.8% if lose.

- Australia have 71.5% if Saudi Arabia win; 66.5% if draw; 58.6% if Japan win.

Oman vs Australia in Group B

- Australia have 70.6% if they win; 57.7% if draw; 47.7% if lose.

- Saudi Arabia have 95.3% if Oman win; 93.5% if draw; 85.3% if Australia win.

- Japan have 93.3% if Oman win; 87.4% if draw; 81.9% if Australia win.

- Oman have 1.4% if  they win; 0% otherwise.

Group B
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Saudi Arabia	7	19	22.3	(20-23)	15%	34%	52%	15%	9%	4%	90%
Japan	7	15	21	(19-22)	24%	44%	33%	24%	19%	10%	86%
Australia	7	14	18.8	(17-20)	60%	23%	15%	60%	47%	23%	62%
Oman	7	7	11.1	(10-13)	1%	< 1%	< 1%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
China	7	5	8.51	(7-10)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Vietnam	7	0	3.26	(2-4)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

PL: Five teams are racing on the fourth CL spot

Five teams are racing on the fourth CL spot.

Hot Teams
Wolves: 13 points in the last 5 matches, 7.0 more than expected
Tottenham: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 3.4 more than expected
Man City: 13 points in the last 5 matches, 2.9 more than expected

Cold Teams
Everton: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 5.5 less than expected
Watford: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 5.3 less than expected
Burnley: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 2.5 less than expected

	Europe	EL (or CL)	CL
Fourth team	100%	100%	99.77%
Fifth team	100%	99.99%	2.4%
FA cup winners	100%	100%	75%
League cup winners	100%	99.91%	98.5%
Sixth team	>99.99%	85%	2.6%
Seventh team	88%	11%	2.8%
Eighth team	15%	7%	1.9%

Simulated points for winner: 88 - 93
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 71
Simulated points for 17th team: 34 - 37

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
57	Man City	90.0	+62	< 1%	100%	100%	>99.99%	>99.99%	88%	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
48	Liverpool	81.6	+59	< 1%	>99.99%	>99.99%	99.97%	99.82%	11%	< 1%	< 1%	99.84%
47	Chelsea	74.9	+44	< 1%	99.98%	99.85%	99.18%	96.4%	< 1%	< 1%	3.1%	96.7%
38	Man United	65.4	+15	< 1%	95.3%	87%	68%	40%	< 1%	9%	44%	42%
36	Arsenal	64.5	+16	< 1%	92%	81%	61%	34%	< 1%	13%	44%	34%
36	Tottenham	63.0	+5	< 1%	85%	69%	45%	21%	< 1%	17%	46%	21%
34	West Ham	58.3	+12	< 1%	62%	35%	16%	5%	< 1%	23%	28%	14%
34	Wolves	56.1	+0	< 1%	39%	19%	8%	2.2%	< 1%	20%	17%	2.2%
26	Leicester	51.3	-3	< 1%	12%	4.7%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	25%	< 1%
30	Brighton	49.7	-4	< 1%	7%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	4.8%	2.8%	< 1%
26	Aston Villa	49.1	-5	< 1%	6%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	4.2%	1.7%	< 1%
25	Southampton	44.5	-12	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.6%	< 1%
24	Crystal Palace	43.9	-7	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.1%	< 1%
22	Leeds	43.8	-20	4.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
19	Everton	41.3	-15	10%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.6%	< 1%
23	Brentford	39.6	-20	14%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
12	Burnley	35.9	-17	38%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
15	Newcastle	32.7	-32	68%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
14	Watford	31.9	-30	73%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
16	Norwich	29.7	-47	88%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

PL: Leicester out of the CL race

Leicester with a more than ten points gap up to Tottenham and less than 1% chance to reach CL.  

Hot Teams
Wolves: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 4.9 more than expected
Man City: 15 points in the last 5 matches, 4.8 more than expected
Tottenham: 11 points in the last 5 matches, 4.0 more than expected

Cold Teams
Watford: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 4.1 less than expected
Burnley: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 2.8 less than expected
Newcastle: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 2.5 less than expected

	Europe	EL (or CL)	CL
Fourth team	100%	100%	99.73%
Fifth team	100%	99.99%	2.7%
FA cup winners	100%	100%	74%
League cup winners	100%	97.1%	88%
Sixth team	99.70%	84%	2.9%
Seventh team	88%	13%	3.1%
Eighth team	17%	8%	1.7%

Simulated points for winner: 88 - 94
Simulated points for fourth: 67 - 71
Simulated points for 17th team: 35 - 38

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
56	Man City	91.1	+63	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	>99.99%	93%	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
45	Liverpool	80.5	+57	< 1%	>99.99%	99.99%	99.92%	99.57%	7%	< 1%	< 1%	99.63%
44	Chelsea	74.0	+43	< 1%	99.94%	99.62%	98.3%	94%	< 1%	< 1%	5%	94%
35	Arsenal	65.7	+17	< 1%	94%	85%	68%	43%	< 1%	12%	40%	42%
35	Man United	64.3	+15	< 1%	92%	80%	58%	30%	< 1%	13%	47%	33%
36	Tottenham	63.7	+6	< 1%	88%	72%	49%	25%	< 1%	17%	46%	25%
34	West Ham	59.1	+12	< 1%	68%	41%	20%	7%	< 1%	24%	31%	16%
31	Wolves	54.4	-1	< 1%	27%	12%	4.4%	1.2%	< 1%	16%	12%	1.2%
25	Leicester	52.1	-2	< 1%	16%	6%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%	8%	26%	< 1%
29	Brighton	49.6	-5	< 1%	7%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	5.0%	2.8%	< 1%
23	Aston Villa	47.1	-7	1.0%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%
22	Leeds	45.7	-18	2.3%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
24	Crystal Palace	44.7	-5	2.5%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.0%	2.2%	< 1%
24	Southampton	44.3	-13	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.6%	< 1%
19	Everton	43.0	-14	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.7%	< 1%
23	Brentford	41.1	-19	9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Burnley	35.5	-19	42%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
14	Watford	33.7	-26	59%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
12	Newcastle	30.6	-34	81%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
13	Norwich	27.6	-51	94%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Watford	55%	22%	23%	Norwich
Everton	48%	24%	28%	Aston Villa
Leeds	56%	22%	22%	Newcastle
Man United	57%	22%	22%	West Ham
Brentford	41%	24%	35%	Wolves
Southampton	18%	20%	61%	Man City
Arsenal	69%	18%	14%	Burnley
Leicester	54%	22%	24%	Brighton
Crystal Palace	22%	22%	57%	Liverpool
Chelsea	64%	19%	17%	Tottenham

 

PL: Chelsea with less than 1% chance to win premier league

Chelsea lost against City and now manage to win the league in less than 1% of the simulations.

Hot Teams
Wolves: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 4.9 more than expected
Man City: 15 points in the last 5 matches, 4.8 more than expected
Arsenal: 12 points in the last 5 matches, 3.3 more than expected

Cold Teams
Watford: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 4.1 less than expected
Burnley: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 2.8 less than expected
Newcastle: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 2.5 less than expected

	Europe	EL (or CL)	CL
Fourth team	100%	100%	99.73%
Fifth team	100%	99.99%	2.8%
FA cup winners	100%	100%	74%
League cup winners	100%	97.4%	90%
Sixth team	99.72%	84%	2.9%
Seventh team	88%	13%	2.7%
Eighth team	17%	8%	1.7%

Simulated points for winner: 88 - 94
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 70
Simulated points for 17th team: 35 - 38

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
56	Man City	91.1	+63	< 1%	100%	100%	>99.99%	>99.99%	92%	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
45	Liverpool	80.5	+57	< 1%	>99.99%	>99.99%	99.95%	99.67%	7%	< 1%	< 1%	99.70%
43	Chelsea	74.7	+44	< 1%	99.95%	99.75%	98.9%	95.9%	< 1%	< 1%	3.5%	96.2%
35	Arsenal	65.7	+17	< 1%	94%	87%	72%	48%	< 1%	10%	37%	48%
32	Man United	63.1	+13	< 1%	88%	74%	53%	26%	< 1%	13%	46%	29%
33	Tottenham	61.9	+4	< 1%	79%	62%	40%	18%	< 1%	18%	42%	18%
34	West Ham	59.1	+12	< 1%	68%	45%	24%	9%	< 1%	21%	33%	17%
31	Wolves	54.4	-1	< 1%	28%	14%	5%	1.5%	< 1%	15%	13%	1.5%
25	Leicester	53.7	-1	< 1%	26%	13%	5%	1.5%	< 1%	10%	30%	1.5%
28	Brighton	49.7	-6	< 1%	8%	3.2%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	5%	3.5%	< 1%
23	Aston Villa	47.1	-7	1.1%	3.4%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.5%	1.0%	< 1%
22	Leeds	45.7	-18	2.4%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
24	Crystal Palace	44.7	-5	2.6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.0%	2.3%	< 1%
24	Southampton	44.3	-13	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.6%	< 1%
19	Everton	43.0	-14	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.8%	< 1%
23	Brentford	42.1	-17	7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Burnley	35.5	-19	42%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
14	Watford	33.7	-26	59%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
12	Newcastle	30.6	-34	82%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
13	Norwich	27.6	-51	94%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Burnley	53%	23%	24%	Watford
Brighton	27%	23%	49%	Chelsea
Leicester	46%	24%	30%	Tottenham
Brentford	27%	23%	50%	Man United

PL: Norwich with less than 4% chance to avoid regulation.

Norwich avoid regulation in less than 4% of our simulations.

Hot Teams
Man City: 15 points in the last 5 matches, 4.3 more than expected
Arsenal: 12 points in the last 5 matches, 3.3 more than expected
Tottenham: 11 points in the last 5 matches, 2.8 more than expected

Cold Teams
Watford: 0 points in the last 5 matches, 4.9 less than expected
Norwich: 0 points in the last 5 matches, 4.2 less than expected
Burnley: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 2.8 less than expected

	Europe	EL (or CL)	CL
Fourth team	100%	100%	99.76%
Fifth team	>99.99%	>99.99%	3.1%
FA cup winners	100%	100%	74%
League cup winners	100%	98.1%	92%
Sixth team	99.80%	84%	3.0%
Seventh team	88%	13%	2.6%
Eighth team	17%	8%	1.4%

Simulated points for winner: 87 - 93
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 71
Simulated points for 17th team: 35 - 38

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
53	Man City	90.0	+63	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	>99.99%	90%	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
42	Liverpool	80.1	+57	< 1%	>99.99%	99.98%	99.89%	99.45%	8%	< 1%	< 1%	99.52%
43	Chelsea	75.5	+44	< 1%	99.96%	99.75%	98.9%	96.1%	1.5%	< 1%	3.3%	96.4%
35	Arsenal	65.8	+17	< 1%	94%	85%	69%	44%	< 1%	11%	39%	44%
31	Man United	63.6	+13	< 1%	88%	74%	52%	27%	< 1%	14%	45%	30%
33	Tottenham	61.9	+4	< 1%	78%	58%	36%	16%	< 1%	20%	41%	16%
34	West Ham	61.1	+14	< 1%	79%	57%	34%	14%	< 1%	20%	38%	22%
25	Leicester	53.7	-1	< 1%	24%	11%	4.6%	1.3%	< 1%	10%	29%	1.3%
28	Wolves	53.3	-2	< 1%	20%	9%	3.4%	< 1%	< 1%	11%	9%	< 1%
27	Brighton	50.4	-5	< 1%	9%	3.9%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	4.0%	< 1%
22	Aston Villa	47.4	-7	1.2%	3.6%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.7%	1.1%	< 1%
24	Southampton	45.2	-12	2.5%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.1%	1.7%	< 1%
23	Crystal Palace	44.8	-6	3.0%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.1%	2.3%	< 1%
19	Everton	44.5	-13	4.2%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.0%	2.0%	< 1%
19	Leeds	43.5	-20	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
23	Brentford	42.5	-16	7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Burnley	35.5	-19	43%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
13	Watford	33.7	-27	60%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Newcastle	31.3	-33	77%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
10	Norwich	25.9	-52	96.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Brighton	50%	23%	27%	Crystal Palace
Man City	59%	21%	20%	Chelsea
Newcastle	51%	23%	26%	Watford
Wolves	54%	22%	24%	Southampton
Burnley	39%	24%	36%	Leicester
Norwich	34%	24%	42%	Everton
Aston Villa	34%	24%	42%	Man United
Liverpool	80%	13%	7%	Brentford
West Ham	59%	21%	20%	Leeds
Tottenham	41%	24%	34%	Arsenal
Burnley	53%	23%	24%	Watford
Brighton	27%	23%	49%	Chelsea
Leicester	46%	24%	30%	Tottenham
Brentford	27%	23%	50%	Man United

PL: City 90% clinched the league

Man City win 90% of the simulations and on average take 10 points more than Liverpool. Leeds with a cushion after an important win against Burnley.

Hot Teams
Man City: 15 points in the last 5 matches, 4.3 more than expected
Arsenal: 12 points in the last 5 matches, 3.3 more than expected
Tottenham: 11 points in the last 5 matches, 2.8 more than expected

Cold Teams
Watford: 0 points in the last 5 matches, 4.9 less than expected
Norwich: 0 points in the last 5 matches, 4.2 less than expected
Burnley: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 2.8 less than expected

Fourth team play CL	99.74%
FA cup winners play EL	9%
League cup winners play ECL	9%

Simulated points for winner: 87 - 93
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 71
Simulated points for 17th team: 35 - 38

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
53	Man City	90.0	+63	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	>99.99%	90%	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
42	Liverpool	80.1	+57	< 1%	>99.99%	99.98%	99.89%	99.44%	8%	< 1%	< 1%	99.51%
43	Chelsea	75.5	+44	< 1%	99.96%	99.77%	99.0%	96.2%	1.5%	< 1%	3.1%	96.5%
35	Arsenal	65.7	+17	< 1%	94%	85%	70%	45%	< 1%	11%	38%	45%
31	Man United	63.6	+13	< 1%	89%	74%	53%	27%	< 1%	14%	42%	30%
33	Tottenham	61.9	+4	< 1%	79%	60%	37%	17%	< 1%	23%	40%	17%
31	West Ham	60.4	+14	< 1%	75%	53%	31%	13%	< 1%	19%	33%	21%
25	Leicester	53.7	-1	< 1%	24%	12%	4.8%	1.3%	< 1%	10%	29%	1.3%
28	Wolves	53.3	-2	< 1%	21%	9%	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%	10%	8%	< 1%
27	Brighton	50.4	-5	< 1%	10%	4.1%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	3.5%	< 1%
22	Aston Villa	47.4	-7	1.2%	3.8%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.4%	1.2%	< 1%
23	Crystal Palace	44.8	-6	3.0%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
19	Everton	44.5	-13	4.2%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
21	Southampton	44.0	-14	4.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
19	Leeds	43.5	-20	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
23	Brentford	43.4	-14	4.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Burnley	35.5	-19	43%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
13	Watford	33.8	-27	60%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Newcastle	31.3	-33	77%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
10	Norwich	26.4	-52	95.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%